Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 — Spain
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 16:00 • Estadio de La Arboleja
Match Finished

Cieza

2 - 0

Real Murcia II

Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.30) 1.23 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.2% 26.2% 33.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
10.1%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Real Murcia II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cieza 0 7.3% 9.0% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.1% 12.4% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.2% 4.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCiezaReal Murcia II
Played55
Form80%73%
Attack82%91%
Defense82%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cieza Real Murcia II
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins67%83%75%50%67%58%
Draws17%0%8%50%17%33%
Loses17%17%17%0%17%8%

Form: Cieza: WWLWWWDWWLWW • Real Murcia II: WWDWWLDWWWDD

League goals

Metric Cieza Real Murcia II
HATHAT
GF total111223101121
GF avg1.82.01.91.71.81.8
GA total4597613
GA avg0.70.80.81.21.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCiezaReal Murcia II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%58%92%92%
1.567%17%58%17%
2.533%0%17%0%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCiezaReal Murcia II
HATHAT
Clean sheets325011
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricCiezaReal Murcia II
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricCiezaReal Murcia II
Wins33
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-12-4
Biggest losses1-21-0—1-0
Goals For3324
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricCiezaReal Murcia II
Form52%48%
Att47%53%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h38%62%
Goals40%60%
Total51.7%48.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Murcia II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ 1xBet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.28 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ 1xBet
No1.77 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…
League page • Country page • Venue page • Cieza vs Real Murcia II

Expected goals (λ): Cieza = 1.39 (league 1.30), Real Murcia II = 1.23 (league 1.02)

Real Murcia II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cieza 0 7.3% 9.0% 5.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.1% 12.4% 7.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.6% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.2% 4.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.2% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 33.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1