Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 15:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.30)
0.47 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 36.0% | 42.2% | 21.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
31.2%
1 - 0
21.7%
0 - 1
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Pulpileño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mazarrón FC | 0 | 31.2% | 14.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.7% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Atlético Pulpileño |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 41% | 35% |
| Defense | 82% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Atlético Pulpileño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Wins | 38% | 38% | 38% | 57% | 25% | 40% |
| Draws | 50% | 38% | 44% | 43% | 38% | 40% |
| Loses | 13% | 25% | 19% | 0% | 38% | 20% |
Form: Mazarrón FC: WLDDLDDDWWDWLWDW • Atlético Pulpileño: DDLDWWWDDWLWDLW
League goals
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Atlético Pulpileño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mazarrón FC | Atlético Pulpileño | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 75% | 80% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 13% | 13% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 6% | 7% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Atlético Pulpileño | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Atlético Pulpileño |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Atlético Pulpileño |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Atlético Pulpileño |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 58.4% | 41.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Mazarrón FC or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mazarrón FC = 0.69 (league 1.30), Atlético Pulpileño = 0.47 (league 1.02)
| Atlético Pulpileño | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mazarrón FC | 0 | 31.2% | 14.7% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.7% | 10.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.0% · Draw 42.2% · Away win 21.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1