Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:45 •
Estadio Municipal de Mula
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.30)
1.23 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.0% | 25.7% | 31.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
| UD Caravaca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Muleño | 0 | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Muleño | UD Caravaca |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 78% | 56% |
| Defense | 0% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Muleño | UD Caravaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% |
| Draws | 22% | 44% | 33% | 44% | 33% | 39% |
| Loses | 44% | 56% | 50% | 22% | 67% | 44% |
Form: Muleño: LLWDLDDDLLLLWLWDLD • UD Caravaca: LWDLLLLDDLWLWDDDLD
League goals
| Metric | Muleño | UD Caravaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 8 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 13 | 18 | 31 | 9 | 17 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Muleño | UD Caravaca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 78% | 67% | 78% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 56% | 33% | 39% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 22% | 6% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 17% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Muleño | UD Caravaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Muleño | UD Caravaca |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Muleño | UD Caravaca |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-4 | 4-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Muleño | UD Caravaca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 45.3% | 54.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or UD Caravaca
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Muleño = 1.46 (league 1.30), UD Caravaca = 1.23 (league 1.02)
| UD Caravaca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Muleño | 0 | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.0% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 31.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1