Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 10:30 • Estadio El Limonar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.30) 1.32 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.9% 26.5% 38.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.6%
0 - 1
10.1%
1 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
UD Caravaca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santomera 0 7.6% 10.1% 6.7% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
1 9.5% 12.6% 8.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSantomeraUD Caravaca
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack44%31%
Defense0%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)16 | 3.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santomera UD Caravaca
HATHAT
Played1091991019
Wins10%22%16%33%0%16%
Draws40%44%42%44%40%42%
Loses50%33%42%22%60%42%

Form: Santomera: LLDDLWLDLDDLWWLDDDL • UD Caravaca: LWDLLLLDDLWLWDDDLDD

League goals

Metric Santomera UD Caravaca
HATHAT
GF total9132211920
GF avg0.91.41.21.20.91.1
GA total15203591827
GA avg1.52.21.81.01.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSantomeraUD Caravaca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%84%68%79%
1.537%53%32%37%
2.511%26%5%21%
3.55%16%0%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSantomeraUD Caravaca
HATHAT
Clean sheets123224
Failed to score527156

Penalties

MetricSantomeraUD Caravaca
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSantomeraUD Caravaca
Wins21
Draws33
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-0—
Biggest losses0-45-01-23-0
Goals For3423
Goals Against4524

Model comparison

MetricSantomeraUD Caravaca
Form43%57%
Att58%42%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or UD Caravaca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santomera = 1.25 (league 1.30), UD Caravaca = 1.32 (league 1.02)

UD Caravaca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santomera 0 7.6% 10.1% 6.7% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
1 9.5% 12.6% 8.3% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.5% 3.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.9% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 38.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1