Sun, Feb 15 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio Municipal Sánchez Cánovas
Expected Goals
1.96 (league 1.30)
1.16 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.4% | 21.8% | 22.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
| UD Caravaca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Unión Molinense | 0 | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Unión Molinense | UD Caravaca |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 20% |
| Attack | 56% | 56% |
| Defense | 33% | 22% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Unión Molinense | UD Caravaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 21 |
| Wins | 36% | 70% | 52% | 30% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 18% | 20% | 19% | 50% | 36% | 43% |
| Loses | 45% | 10% | 29% | 20% | 64% | 43% |
Unión MolinenseWLDLWLWDWWDWWWDLLWWWL
UD CaravacaLWDLLLLDDLWLWDDDLDDLD
League goals
| Metric | Unión Molinense | UD Caravaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 10 | 27 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 16 | 6 | 22 | 9 | 19 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Unión Molinense | UD Caravaca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 71% | 62% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 24% | 29% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 10% | 5% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Unión Molinense | UD Caravaca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Unión Molinense | UD Caravaca |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Unión Molinense | UD Caravaca |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Unión Molinense | UD Caravaca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 63.8% | 36.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw3.89 @ Pinnacle
Away5.90 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.17 @ Superbet
No1.73 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…