Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.30)
1.03 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.0% | 23.3% | 21.7% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Santomera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mazarrón FC | 0 | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Santomera |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 20% |
| Attack | 86% | 57% |
| Defense | 14% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Santomera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 38% | 42% | 40% | 15% | 25% | 20% |
| Draws | 38% | 42% | 40% | 31% | 33% | 32% |
| Loses | 23% | 17% | 20% | 54% | 42% | 48% |
Form: Mazarrón FC: WLDDLDDDWWDWLWDWWLWWWLDDD • Santomera: LLDDLWLDLDDLWWLDDDLWLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Santomera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 18 | 32 | 11 | 16 | 27 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 10 | 14 | 24 | 18 | 25 | 43 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mazarrón FC | Santomera | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 72% | 64% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 20% | 32% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 16% | 4% | 8% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Santomera | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Santomera |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Santomera |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | Santomera |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 62.3% | 37.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Mazarrón FC or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mazarrón FC = 1.78 (league 1.30), Santomera = 1.03 (league 1.01)
| Santomera | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mazarrón FC | 0 | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 11.0% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 21.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1