Wed, Apr 1 2026 • 18:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Llano de Brujas
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.31)
1.07 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.8% | 32.6% | 44.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.7%
0 - 0
17.5%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Águilas II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Cruz | 0 | 17.5% | 18.7% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Águilas II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 87% |
| Attack | 44% | 89% |
| Defense | 11% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Águilas II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 21% | 57% | 39% | 50% | 21% | 36% |
| Draws | 29% | 14% | 21% | 29% | 36% | 32% |
| Loses | 50% | 29% | 39% | 21% | 43% | 32% |
Form: Santa Cruz: DWWWWDLWLLLWDWWLLLWLDLWLDWDL • Águilas II: WDDWLDLWLWDLLWDLDDLLWLDDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Águilas II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 19 | 30 | 23 | 12 | 35 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 17 | 13 | 30 | 17 | 16 | 33 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santa Cruz | Águilas II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 61% | 64% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 32% | 43% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 11% | 14% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Águilas II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 5 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Águilas II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 66.67% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 33.33% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Águilas II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santa Cruz | Águilas II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 28% | 72% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 34.3% | 65.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Águilas II and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Santa Cruz = 0.67 (league 1.31), Águilas II = 1.07 (league 1.01)
| Águilas II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Cruz | 0 | 17.5% | 18.7% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 12.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.8% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 44.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1