Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Mazarrón
Expected Goals
1.19 (league 1.31)
0.42 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.7% | 31.2% | 12.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.8%
0 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
| El Palmar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mazarrón FC | 0 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.8% | 10.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.2% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | El Palmar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 47% |
| Attack | 100% | 38% |
| Defense | 75% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | El Palmar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 14 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 47% | 36% | 41% | 27% | 29% | 28% |
| Draws | 33% | 50% | 41% | 20% | 29% | 24% |
| Loses | 20% | 14% | 17% | 53% | 43% | 48% |
Form: Mazarrón FC: WLDDLDDDWWDWLWDWWLWWWLDDDWDWD • El Palmar: LLLDDLWDWLDWWLDLLLDLWLLWWLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | El Palmar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 19 | 39 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 10 | 15 | 25 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mazarrón FC | El Palmar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 66% | 55% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 17% | 21% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 3% | 3% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | El Palmar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | El Palmar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | El Palmar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mazarrón FC | El Palmar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 54.0% | 46.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Mazarrón FC or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mazarrón FC = 1.19 (league 1.31), El Palmar = 0.42 (league 1.01)
| El Palmar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mazarrón FC | 0 | 20.0% | 8.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.8% | 10.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.2% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.7% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 12.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1