Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Navalmoral de la Mata
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.49)
0.84 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.2% | 28.1% | 23.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Montijo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moralo | 0 | 11.3% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 12.7% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moralo | Montijo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 33% | 44% |
| Attack | 78% | 44% |
| Defense | 22% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 2.3 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
89%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moralo | Montijo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Form: Moralo: DDD • Montijo: WLD
League goals
| Metric | Moralo | Montijo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moralo | Montijo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 67% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moralo | Montijo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moralo | Montijo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moralo | Montijo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moralo | Montijo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 30% | 70% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 20% | 80% |
| Total | 38.5% | 61.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Montijo
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moralo = 1.34 (league 1.49), Montijo = 0.84 (league 1.19)
| Montijo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moralo | 0 | 11.3% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 12.7% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.1% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.2% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 23.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1