Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 16:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Santa Amalia
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.49)
0.25 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.9% | 46.8% | 12.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
39.7%
1 - 0
26.6%
0 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Cabeza Buey | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Amalia | 0 | 39.7% | 10.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.6% | 6.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 67% | 22% |
| Attack | 30% | 30% |
| Defense | 90% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 4 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
40%
FT probability
2.5+
28%
FT probability
3.5+
20%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Cabeza Buey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Form: Santa Amalia: WWL • Cabeza Buey: DLD
League goals
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Cabeza Buey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santa Amalia | Cabeza Buey | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | 67% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Cabeza Buey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 68.3% | 31.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Santa Amalia or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Santa Amalia = 0.67 (league 1.49), Cabeza Buey = 0.25 (league 1.19)
| Cabeza Buey | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Amalia | 0 | 39.7% | 10.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.6% | 6.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.9% · Draw 46.8% · Away win 12.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1