Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio Fernando Robina
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.45)
1.76 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.9% | 23.3% | 45.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Villafranca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Llerenense | 0 | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Llerenense | Villafranca |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 50% | 58% |
| Attack | 38% | 46% |
| Defense | 69% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Llerenense | Villafranca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Llerenense: WLWL • Villafranca: DWWL
League goals
| Metric | Llerenense | Villafranca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Llerenense | Villafranca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 75% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Llerenense | Villafranca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Llerenense | Villafranca |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Llerenense | Villafranca |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Llerenense | Villafranca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 77% | 23% |
| Total | 63.4% | 36.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Llerenense or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Llerenense = 1.38 (league 1.45), Villafranca = 1.76 (league 1.14)
| Villafranca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Llerenense | 0 | 4.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.9% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 45.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1