Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 10:00 •
Estadio Municipal Villanovense
Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.49)
1.26 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.6% | 29.0% | 46.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.5%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Santa Amalia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villanovense | 0 | 12.2% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villanovense | Santa Amalia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 83% | 58% |
| Attack | 100% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 1 | 0.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villanovense | Santa Amalia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Villanovense: WWWD • Santa Amalia: WWLD
League goals
| Metric | Villanovense | Santa Amalia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villanovense | Santa Amalia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 50% | 25% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villanovense | Santa Amalia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villanovense | Santa Amalia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villanovense | Santa Amalia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villanovense | Santa Amalia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Villanovense or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Villanovense = 0.84 (league 1.49), Santa Amalia = 1.26 (league 1.19)
| Santa Amalia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villanovense | 0 | 12.2% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 46.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1