Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio Manuel Calzado Galván
Match Finished
1 - 3
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.40) 1.37 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.9% 20.7% 23.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 1
8.8%
2 - 0
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Montijo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jerez 0 3.0% 4.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.4% 8.8% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.9% 6.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.6% 3.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJerezMontijo
Played44
Form25%33%
Attack15%46%
Defense69%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.56 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 17 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jerez Montijo
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins0%0%0%50%0%25%
Draws100%50%75%50%0%25%
Loses0%50%25%0%100%50%

Form: Jerez: DLDD • Montijo: WLDL

League goals

Metric Jerez Montijo
HATHAT
GF total202336
GF avg1.00.00.51.51.51.5
GA total224167
GA avg1.01.01.00.53.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJerezMontijo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.525%50%100%75%
1.525%50%50%50%
2.50%0%0%25%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJerezMontijo
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricJerezMontijo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricJerezMontijo
Wins01
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-0—
Biggest losses—2-0—4-2
Goals For2022
Goals Against2214

Model comparison

MetricJerezMontijo
Form43%57%
Att25%75%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total39.5%60.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Montijo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jerez = 2.14 (league 1.40), Montijo = 1.37 (league 1.10)

Montijo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jerez 0 3.0% 4.1% 2.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.4% 8.8% 6.0% 2.7% 0.9% 0.3%
2 6.9% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.9% 6.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.6% 3.6% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.9% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 23.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1