Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 10:00 •
Estadio Manuel Sánchez Delgado
Expected Goals
4.02 (league 1.49)
0.84 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
best score tips
4 - 0
8.4%
3 - 0
8.4%
4 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Llerenense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Diocesano | 0 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Diocesano | Llerenense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 67% | 42% |
| Defense | 33% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Diocesano | Llerenense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 20% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 50% | 67% | 60% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
Form: Diocesano: DDDWL • Llerenense: WLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Diocesano | Llerenense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Diocesano | Llerenense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Diocesano | Llerenense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Diocesano | Llerenense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Diocesano | Llerenense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Diocesano | Llerenense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 54.2% | 45.8% |
Advice: Winner : Diocesano
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Diocesano = 4.02 (league 1.49), Llerenense = 0.84 (league 1.19)
| Llerenense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Diocesano | 0 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.0% · Draw 6.6% · Away win 3.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1