Expected Goals
0.84 (league 1.49) 1.26 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.6% 29.0% 46.1%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.5%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Badajoz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moralo 0 12.2% 15.5% 9.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.3% 12.9% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.3% 5.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMoraloBadajoz
Played54
Form40%50%
Attack100%56%
Defense0%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Moralo Badajoz
HATHAT
Played235224
Wins50%0%20%50%50%50%
Draws50%67%60%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%20%50%50%50%

Form: Moralo: DDDWL • Badajoz: LLWW

League goals

Metric Moralo Badajoz
HATHAT
GF total5611325
GF avg2.52.02.21.51.01.3
GA total3710213
GA avg1.52.32.01.00.50.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMoraloBadajoz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%100%50%75%
1.560%60%50%0%
2.540%20%25%0%
3.540%20%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMoraloBadajoz
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricMoraloBadajoz
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMoraloBadajoz
Wins10
Draws30
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-23-10-2
Biggest losses1-00-11-0
Goals For4432
Goals Against2411

Model comparison

MetricMoraloBadajoz
Form50%50%
Att69%31%
Def23%77%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h20%80%
Goals25%75%
Total37.2%62.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Badajoz

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.92 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.12 @ Marathonbet
Away2.05 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Marathonbet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Moralo = 0.84 (league 1.49), Badajoz = 1.26 (league 1.19)

Badajoz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moralo 0 12.2% 15.5% 9.8% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.3% 12.9% 8.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 4.3% 5.4% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.6% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 46.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1