Mon, Oct 13 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio Vicente Sanz
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.47) 0.21 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.8% 17.5% 3.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.0%
2 - 0
21.9%
3 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Villanovense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Don Benito 0 12.1% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 4.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.9% 4.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.9% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDon BenitoVillanovense
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack82%73%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Don Benito Villanovense
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%33%60%100%50%80%
Draws0%33%20%0%50%20%
Loses0%33%20%0%0%0%

Form: Don Benito: LWWWD • Villanovense: WWWDW

League goals

Metric Don Benito Villanovense
HATHAT
GF total729718
GF avg3.50.71.82.30.51.6
GA total134404
GA avg0.51.00.81.30.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDon BenitoVillanovense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%60%80%60%
1.520%20%60%20%
2.520%0%20%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDon BenitoVillanovense
HATHAT
Clean sheets112022
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricDon BenitoVillanovense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDon BenitoVillanovense
Wins33
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-13-20-1
Biggest losses—2-0——
Goals For6131
Goals Against1220

Model comparison

MetricDon BenitoVillanovense
Form43%57%
Att53%47%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total51.6%48.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Don Benito or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.12 @ Marathonbet
Away3.06 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.70 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Don Benito = 1.90 (league 1.47), Villanovense = 0.21 (league 1.19)

Villanovense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Don Benito 0 12.1% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.0% 4.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.9% 4.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.9% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.6% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.8% · Draw 17.5% · Away win 3.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1