Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 10:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Villafranca de los Barros
Expected Goals
0.34 (league 1.49)
1.03 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.0% | 35.2% | 52.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
26.3%
0 - 0
25.6%
0 - 2
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Cabeza Buey | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villafranca | 0 | 25.6% | 26.3% | 13.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villafranca | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 27% |
| Attack | 88% | 50% |
| Defense | 38% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villafranca | Cabeza Buey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 67% | 60% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 100% | 50% | 80% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
Form: Villafranca: DWWLW • Cabeza Buey: DLDDD
League goals
| Metric | Villafranca | Cabeza Buey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villafranca | Cabeza Buey | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villafranca | Cabeza Buey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villafranca | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villafranca | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villafranca | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 61.7% | 38.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Villafranca or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Villafranca = 0.34 (league 1.49), Cabeza Buey = 1.03 (league 1.17)
| Cabeza Buey | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villafranca | 0 | 25.6% | 26.3% | 13.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.0% · Draw 35.2% · Away win 52.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1