Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 15:00 • Estadio Municipal de Santa Amalia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.35 (league 1.42) 0.32 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.8% 57.0% 20.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
51.2%
1 - 0
18.1%
0 - 1
16.2%
Score & goals probability table
Montehermoso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Amalia 0 51.2% 16.2% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.1% 5.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta AmaliaMontehermoso
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack44%33%
Defense67%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

35%
FT probability

2.5+

25%
FT probability

3.5+

18%
FT probability

BTTS

44%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Amalia Montehermoso
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%33%40%33%0%20%
Draws50%0%20%33%0%20%
Loses0%67%40%33%100%60%

Form: Santa Amalia: WWLDL • Montehermoso: LLDLW

League goals

Metric Santa Amalia Montehermoso
HATHAT
GF total134303
GF avg0.51.00.81.00.00.6
GA total033527
GA avg0.01.00.61.71.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta AmaliaMontehermoso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%40%40%100%
1.520%20%20%20%
2.50%0%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta AmaliaMontehermoso
HATHAT
Clean sheets213000
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricSanta AmaliaMontehermoso
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSanta AmaliaMontehermoso
Wins20
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-22-1—
Biggest losses—2-10-31-0
Goals For1220
Goals Against0231

Model comparison

MetricSanta AmaliaMontehermoso
Form64%36%
Att57%43%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total63.7%36.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Santa Amalia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ Betano
Draw3.96 @ Pinnacle
Away5.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.59 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Marathonbet
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Amalia = 0.35 (league 1.42), Montehermoso = 0.32 (league 1.13)

Montehermoso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Amalia 0 51.2% 16.2% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.1% 5.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.8% · Draw 57.0% · Away win 20.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1