Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Navalmoral de la Mata
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.45)
0.26 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.7% | 37.3% | 10.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
29.3%
1 - 0
28.3%
2 - 0
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Cabeza Buey | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moralo | 0 | 29.3% | 7.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.3% | 7.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moralo | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 39% | 33% |
| Defense | 72% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moralo | Cabeza Buey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 33% | 75% | 57% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
Form: Moralo: DDDWLWD • Cabeza Buey: DLDDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Moralo | Cabeza Buey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moralo | Cabeza Buey | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 71% | 71% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 43% | 29% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 14% | 14% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moralo | Cabeza Buey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moralo | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moralo | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | — | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moralo | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 56.8% | 43.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Moralo or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moralo = 0.96 (league 1.45), Cabeza Buey = 0.26 (league 1.14)
| Cabeza Buey | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moralo | 0 | 29.3% | 7.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 28.3% | 7.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.6% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.7% · Draw 37.3% · Away win 10.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1