Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Manuel Sánchez Delgado
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.49)
0.44 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.4% | 29.7% | 12.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.0%
0 - 0
18.1%
2 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Villanovense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Diocesano | 0 | 18.1% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.0% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.6% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Diocesano | Villanovense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 39% | 44% |
| Defense | 56% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Diocesano | Villanovense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 29% | 100% | 33% | 71% |
| Draws | 33% | 50% | 43% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 29% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
Form: Diocesano: DDDWLWL • Villanovense: WWWDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Diocesano | Villanovense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 11 |
| GF avg | 2.7 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 5 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Diocesano | Villanovense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 43% | 57% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 43% | 29% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Diocesano | Villanovense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Diocesano | Villanovense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Diocesano | Villanovense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Diocesano | Villanovense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 72% | 28% |
| H2h | 67% | 33% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 58.8% | 41.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Diocesano or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Diocesano = 1.27 (league 1.49), Villanovense = 0.44 (league 1.17)
| Villanovense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Diocesano | 0 | 18.1% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.0% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.6% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.4% · Draw 29.7% · Away win 12.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1