Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 17:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Santa Amalia
Expected Goals
0.63 (league 1.45)
0.69 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.3% | 39.7% | 31.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
26.8%
0 - 1
18.4%
1 - 0
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Puebla Calzada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Amalia | 0 | 26.8% | 18.4% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 11.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 11% | 28% |
| Defense | 78% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
47%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Puebla Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 25% | 43% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 75% | 43% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
Form: Santa Amalia: WWLDLWL • Puebla Calzada: LWWDWDL
League goals
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Puebla Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santa Amalia | Puebla Calzada | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 43% | 71% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 14% | 29% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Puebla Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Santa Amalia or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Santa Amalia = 0.63 (league 1.45), Puebla Calzada = 0.69 (league 1.13)
| Puebla Calzada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Amalia | 0 | 26.8% | 18.4% | 6.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.9% | 11.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.3% · Draw 39.7% · Away win 31.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1