Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 11:30 •
Estadio Manuel Calzado Galván
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.45)
1.83 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.4% | 22.4% | 60.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
12.8%
0 - 2
11.8%
1 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Badajoz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jerez | 0 | 7.0% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jerez | Badajoz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 80% |
| Attack | 67% | 83% |
| Defense | 50% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jerez | Badajoz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| Wins | 25% | 0% | 13% | 50% | 60% | 57% |
| Draws | 50% | 75% | 63% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 40% | 43% |
Form: Jerez: DLDDLDWD • Badajoz: LLWWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Jerez | Badajoz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 2 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jerez | Badajoz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 63% | 57% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 50% | 57% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 29% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jerez | Badajoz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jerez | Badajoz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jerez | Badajoz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | — | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jerez | Badajoz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Badajoz
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Jerez = 0.83 (league 1.45), Badajoz = 1.83 (league 1.15)
| Badajoz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jerez | 0 | 7.0% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.4% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 60.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1