Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 17:15 •
Estadio Municipal de Navalmoral de la Mata
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.46)
0.52 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.9% | 30.3% | 15.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.4%
0 - 0
17.3%
2 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Montehermoso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moralo | 0 | 17.3% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moralo | Montehermoso |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 27% |
| Attack | 27% | 27% |
| Defense | 64% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moralo | Montehermoso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 20% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Draws | 25% | 60% | 44% | 40% | 0% | 22% |
| Loses | 25% | 20% | 22% | 40% | 100% | 67% |
Form: Moralo: DDDWLWDLW • Montehermoso: LLDLWLLLD
League goals
| Metric | Moralo | Montehermoso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moralo | Montehermoso | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 67% | 33% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 44% | 11% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 22% | 0% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 11% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moralo | Montehermoso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moralo | Montehermoso |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moralo | Montehermoso |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 0-1 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 1-0 | 0-7 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moralo | Montehermoso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 69.0% | 31.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Moralo or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moralo = 1.23 (league 1.46), Montehermoso = 0.52 (league 1.16)
| Montehermoso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moralo | 0 | 17.3% | 9.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.4% | 11.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.2% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.9% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 15.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1