Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.02 (league 1.49) 0.43 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.6% 17.9% 6.8%
best score tips
2 - 0
17.6%
1 - 0
17.5%
3 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Llerenense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Badajoz 0 8.7% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.5% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 7.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.9% 5.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.0% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBadajozLlerenense
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack38%14%
Defense86%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Badajoz Llerenense
HATHAT
Played268549
Wins50%50%50%60%0%33%
Draws0%17%13%20%0%11%
Loses50%33%38%20%100%56%

Form: Badajoz: LLWWLWWD • Llerenense: WLWLLLDLW

League goals

Metric Badajoz Llerenense
HATHAT
GF total3710628
GF avg1.51.21.31.20.50.9
GA total235189
GA avg1.00.50.60.22.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBadajozLlerenense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%63%56%56%
1.550%0%22%33%
2.525%0%11%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBadajozLlerenense
HATHAT
Clean sheets033404
Failed to score134224

Penalties

MetricBadajozLlerenense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBadajozLlerenense
Wins21
Draws01
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-0—
Biggest losses0-11-00-13-1
Goals For3331
Goals Against1113

Model comparison

MetricBadajozLlerenense
Form71%29%
Att73%27%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total63.2%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Badajoz or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Badajoz = 2.02 (league 1.49), Llerenense = 0.43 (league 1.17)

Llerenense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Badajoz 0 8.7% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.5% 7.5% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.6% 7.6% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.9% 5.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.0% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.6% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 6.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1