Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 11:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Villafranca de los Barros
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.49)
1.11 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 28.4% | 30.7% | 40.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.3%
0 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Puebla Calzada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villafranca | 0 | 13.7% | 15.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villafranca | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 38% | 46% |
| Defense | 38% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villafranca | Puebla Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 40% | 44% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Draws | 25% | 20% | 22% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| Loses | 25% | 40% | 33% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
Form: Villafranca: DWWLWDLWL • Puebla Calzada: LWWDWDLDD
League goals
| Metric | Villafranca | Puebla Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villafranca | Puebla Calzada | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 78% | 78% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 33% | 22% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 22% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villafranca | Puebla Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villafranca | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villafranca | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villafranca | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 52.8% | 47.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Villafranca or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Villafranca = 0.87 (league 1.49), Puebla Calzada = 1.11 (league 1.17)
| Puebla Calzada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villafranca | 0 | 13.7% | 15.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 13.3% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.4% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 40.8%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1