Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio Manuel Sánchez Delgado
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.48)
2.54 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.5% | 18.7% | 50.4% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.7%
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 3
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Jaraíz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Diocesano | 0 | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Diocesano | Jaraíz |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 87% |
| Attack | 45% | 91% |
| Defense | 27% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Diocesano | Jaraíz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 22% | 80% | 50% | 67% |
| Draws | 50% | 60% | 56% | 0% | 50% | 22% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 22% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
Form: Diocesano: DDDWLWLDD • Jaraíz: WWLDWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Diocesano | Jaraíz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Diocesano | Jaraíz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 67% | 89% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 67% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 33% | 22% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 11% | 11% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Diocesano | Jaraíz | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Diocesano | Jaraíz |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Diocesano | Jaraíz |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 4-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Diocesano | Jaraíz |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 28% | 72% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 32.8% | 67.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Jaraíz
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Diocesano = 1.76 (league 1.48), Jaraíz = 2.54 (league 1.18)
| Jaraíz | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Diocesano | 0 | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 2.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.5% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 50.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1