Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 11:30 •
Estadio Manuel Calzado Galván
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.49)
0.62 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4% | 20.2% | 10.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
14.6%
3 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Llerenense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jerez | 0 | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.6% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jerez | Llerenense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 33% |
| Attack | 56% | 22% |
| Defense | 67% | 72% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jerez | Llerenense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 20% | 0% | 10% | 60% | 0% | 30% |
| Draws | 60% | 80% | 70% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Loses | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 80% | 50% |
Form: Jerez: DLDDLDWDDD • Llerenense: WLWLLLDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Jerez | Llerenense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 9 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jerez | Llerenense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 50% | 20% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jerez | Llerenense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jerez | Llerenense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jerez | Llerenense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | — | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jerez | Llerenense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 52.3% | 47.7% |
Advice: Winner : Jerez
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Jerez = 1.94 (league 1.49), Llerenense = 0.62 (league 1.17)
| Llerenense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jerez | 0 | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.1% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.6% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.4% · Draw 20.2% · Away win 10.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1