Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 19:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Navalmoral de la Mata
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.42)
1.78 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.4% | 21.8% | 36.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Puebla Calzada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moralo | 0 | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moralo | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 35% | 35% |
| Defense | 59% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moralo | Puebla Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 60% | 17% | 36% | 50% | 40% | 45% |
| Draws | 20% | 50% | 36% | 33% | 40% | 36% |
| Loses | 20% | 33% | 27% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
Form: Moralo: DDDWLWDLWWL • Puebla Calzada: LWWDWDLDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Moralo | Puebla Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moralo | Puebla Calzada | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 73% | 82% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 45% | 36% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 27% | 27% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 27% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moralo | Puebla Calzada | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moralo | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moralo | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moralo | Puebla Calzada |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 46% | 54% |
| Poisson Distribution | 50% | 50% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Moralo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moralo = 1.86 (league 1.42), Puebla Calzada = 1.78 (league 1.10)
| Puebla Calzada | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moralo | 0 | 2.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 4.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 2.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.4% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 36.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1