Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Villafranca de los Barros
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.49)
0.82 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.0% | 31.5% | 27.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Gévora | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villafranca | 0 | 15.0% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 13.3% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villafranca | Gévora |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 40% |
| Attack | 40% | 40% |
| Defense | 27% | 47% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villafranca | Gévora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 33% | 36% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Draws | 20% | 33% | 27% | 50% | 20% | 36% |
| Loses | 40% | 33% | 36% | 17% | 60% | 36% |
Form: Villafranca: DWWLWDLWLLD • Gévora: LWLWLDWDDDL
League goals
| Metric | Villafranca | Gévora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villafranca | Gévora | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 91% | 82% | 73% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 45% | 36% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 18% | 0% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villafranca | Gévora | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villafranca | Gévora |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villafranca | Gévora |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villafranca | Gévora |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 47.0% | 53.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Gévora
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Villafranca = 1.08 (league 1.49), Gévora = 0.82 (league 1.17)
| Gévora | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villafranca | 0 | 15.0% | 12.3% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 13.3% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.7% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.0% · Draw 31.5% · Away win 27.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1