Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal Nuevo Vivero
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.45) 0.18 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.3% 53.8% 9.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
49.1%
1 - 0
26.3%
0 - 1
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
Villanovense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Badajoz 0 49.1% 8.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.3% 4.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBadajozVillanovense
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack47%27%
Defense67%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Badajoz Villanovense
HATHAT
Played37106511
Wins33%43%40%67%20%45%
Draws33%14%20%17%40%27%
Loses33%43%40%17%40%27%

Form: Badajoz: LLWWLWWDDL • Villanovense: WWWDWLWDLLD

League goals

Metric Badajoz Villanovense
HATHAT
GF total481211112
GF avg1.31.11.21.80.21.1
GA total3697310
GA avg1.00.90.91.20.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBadajozVillanovense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%70%55%73%
1.540%10%36%18%
2.520%10%18%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBadajozVillanovense
HATHAT
Clean sheets033033
Failed to score134145

Penalties

MetricBadajozVillanovense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBadajozVillanovense
Wins23
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-10-1
Biggest losses0-13-10-12-0
Goals For3331
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricBadajozVillanovense
Form62%38%
Att64%36%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h75%25%
Goals75%25%
Total65.8%34.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Badajoz or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.33 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.77 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Badajoz = 0.54 (league 1.45), Villanovense = 0.18 (league 1.14)

Villanovense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Badajoz 0 49.1% 8.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.3% 4.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 7.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.3% · Draw 53.8% · Away win 9.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1