Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 17:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Santa Amalia
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.45)
0.35 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 42.6% | 42.0% | 15.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
32.6%
1 - 0
25.2%
0 - 1
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Jerez | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Amalia | 0 | 32.6% | 11.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.2% | 8.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Jerez |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 24% | 82% |
| Defense | 71% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
54%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Jerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 40% | 33% | 36% | 33% | 0% | 18% |
| Draws | 60% | 0% | 27% | 50% | 80% | 64% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 36% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
Form: Santa Amalia: WWLDLWLDWDL • Jerez: DLDDLDWDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Jerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santa Amalia | Jerez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 64% | 55% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 18% | 9% | 45% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 27% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Jerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Jerez |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Jerez |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Jerez |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Santa Amalia or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Santa Amalia = 0.77 (league 1.45), Jerez = 0.35 (league 1.15)
| Jerez | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Amalia | 0 | 32.6% | 11.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.2% | 8.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 42.0% · Away win 15.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1