Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 11:30 •
Estadio Manuel Calzado Galván
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.42)
1.09 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 32.1% | 30.1% | 37.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Cabeza Buey | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jerez | 0 | 12.6% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Jerez | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 87% |
| Attack | 100% | 82% |
| Defense | 27% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Jerez | Cabeza Buey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 33% | 0% | 17% | 50% | 33% | 42% |
| Draws | 50% | 83% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Loses | 17% | 17% | 17% | 0% | 17% | 8% |
Form: Jerez: DLDDLDWDDDWD • Cabeza Buey: DLDDDDWWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Jerez | Cabeza Buey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 7 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Jerez | Cabeza Buey | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 58% | 67% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 42% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Jerez | Cabeza Buey | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Jerez | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Jerez | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | — | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Jerez | Cabeza Buey |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 40.8% | 59.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Cabeza Buey
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Jerez = 0.98 (league 1.42), Cabeza Buey = 1.09 (league 1.10)
| Cabeza Buey | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Jerez | 0 | 12.6% | 13.7% | 7.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 13.5% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.1% · Draw 30.1% · Away win 37.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1