Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 15:30 •
Estadio Fernando Robina
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.43)
0.13 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8% | 29.1% | 3.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
31.2%
0 - 0
24.7%
2 - 0
19.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Montehermoso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Llerenense | 0 | 24.7% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 31.2% | 4.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Llerenense | Montehermoso |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 13% |
| Attack | 56% | 44% |
| Defense | 11% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Llerenense | Montehermoso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 23% | 14% | 0% | 8% |
| Draws | 17% | 14% | 15% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
| Loses | 33% | 86% | 62% | 57% | 83% | 69% |
Form: Llerenense: WLWLLLDLWDLLL • Montehermoso: LLDLWLLLDLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Llerenense | Montehermoso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 3 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Llerenense | Montehermoso | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 69% | 46% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 38% | 8% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 15% | 0% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 15% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Llerenense | Montehermoso | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Llerenense | Montehermoso |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Llerenense | Montehermoso |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 0-7 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Llerenense | Montehermoso |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 66.3% | 33.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Llerenense or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Llerenense = 1.26 (league 1.43), Montehermoso = 0.13 (league 1.12)
| Montehermoso | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Llerenense | 0 | 24.7% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 31.2% | 4.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% · Draw 29.1% · Away win 3.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1