Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 11:00 • Estadio Manuel Sánchez Delgado
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.45) 1.96 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.4% 21.7% 44.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Azuaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diocesano 0 2.8% 5.5% 5.4% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7%
1 4.5% 8.9% 8.7% 5.7% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.1% 7.0% 4.6% 2.2% 0.9%
3 2.0% 3.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDiocesanoAzuaga
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack56%100%
Defense22%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Diocesano Azuaga
HATHAT
Played67138412
Wins33%0%15%50%25%42%
Draws50%57%54%38%50%42%
Loses17%43%31%13%25%17%

Form: Diocesano: DDDWLWLDDLLDD • Azuaga: WDDLLWWDDWWD

League goals

Metric Diocesano Azuaga
HATHAT
GF total1151612618
GF avg1.80.71.21.51.51.5
GA total910198513
GA avg1.51.41.51.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDiocesanoAzuaga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%69%92%67%
1.531%38%42%33%
2.58%31%17%8%
3.58%8%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDiocesanoAzuaga
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score123101

Penalties

MetricDiocesanoAzuaga
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDiocesanoAzuaga
Wins12
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—3-10-2
Biggest losses2-33-11-22-1
Goals For4132
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricDiocesanoAzuaga
Form25%75%
Att36%64%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Azuaga

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Diocesano = 1.61 (league 1.45), Azuaga = 1.96 (league 1.15)

Azuaga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diocesano 0 2.8% 5.5% 5.4% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7%
1 4.5% 8.9% 8.7% 5.7% 2.8% 1.1%
2 3.6% 7.1% 7.0% 4.6% 2.2% 0.9%
3 2.0% 3.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.4% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 44.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1