Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Municipal de Santa Amalia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.44) 0.57 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.4% 36.9% 22.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.6%
1 - 0
20.6%
0 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Diocesano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Amalia 0 23.6% 13.5% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.6% 11.8% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.0% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta AmaliaDiocesano
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack45%64%
Defense36%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Amalia Diocesano
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins29%43%36%43%0%21%
Draws57%0%29%43%57%50%
Loses14%57%36%14%43%29%

Form: Santa Amalia: WWLDLWLDWDLDLW • Diocesano: DDDWLWLDDLLDDW

League goals

Metric Santa Amalia Diocesano
HATHAT
GF total671314519
GF avg0.91.00.92.00.71.4
GA total6713101020
GA avg0.91.00.91.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta AmaliaDiocesano
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%71%79%71%
1.529%21%36%36%
2.50%0%14%29%
3.50%0%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta AmaliaDiocesano
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score235123

Penalties

MetricSanta AmaliaDiocesano
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSanta AmaliaDiocesano
Wins21
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-1—
Biggest losses0-22-12-33-1
Goals For2241
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricSanta AmaliaDiocesano
Form50%50%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total50.5%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Diocesano

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Amalia = 0.87 (league 1.44), Diocesano = 0.57 (league 1.10)

Diocesano
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Amalia 0 23.6% 13.5% 3.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.6% 11.8% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.0% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.4% · Draw 36.9% · Away win 22.7%

vtt 3 , vtd1