Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Vicente Sanz
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.75 (league 1.42) 0.89 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.1% 14.3% 9.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
9.9%
3 - 0
9.1%
2 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Villafranca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Don Benito 0 2.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.2% 6.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.9% 8.8% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 9.1% 8.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.2% 5.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDon BenitoVillafranca
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack82%64%
Defense73%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Don Benito Villafranca
HATHAT
Played68147714
Wins67%50%57%43%29%36%
Draws33%25%29%14%43%29%
Loses0%25%14%43%29%36%

Form: Don Benito: LWWWDWWDDWWLWD • Villafranca: DWWLWDLWLLDWDL

League goals

Metric Don Benito Villafranca
HATHAT
GF total14163081018
GF avg2.32.02.11.11.41.3
GA total461081220
GA avg0.70.80.71.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDon BenitoVillafranca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%50%93%79%
1.550%21%29%43%
2.521%0%7%14%
3.514%0%0%7%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDon BenitoVillafranca
HATHAT
Clean sheets347213
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricDon BenitoVillafranca
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricDon BenitoVillafranca
Wins32
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-72-01-3
Biggest losses—2-00-24-1
Goals For6723
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricDon BenitoVillafranca
Form67%33%
Att56%44%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total61.5%38.5%

Advice: Double chance : Don Benito or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Don Benito = 2.75 (league 1.42), Villafranca = 0.89 (league 1.10)

Villafranca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Don Benito 0 2.6% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.2% 6.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.9% 8.8% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 9.1% 8.1% 3.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
4 6.2% 5.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 3.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.1% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 9.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1