Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Municipal Villanovense
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.44) 0.27 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.7% 22.0% 5.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.1%
2 - 0
19.9%
0 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
Montehermoso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villanovense 0 14.6% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.1% 6.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.9% 5.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.9% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVillanovenseMontehermoso
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack30%20%
Defense60%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Villanovense Montehermoso
HATHAT
Played78158715
Wins71%13%40%13%0%7%
Draws14%38%27%25%14%20%
Loses14%50%33%63%86%73%

Form: Villanovense: WWWDWLWDLLDLWDL • Montehermoso: LLDLWLLLDLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Villanovense Montehermoso
HATHAT
GF total12214527
GF avg1.70.30.90.60.30.5
GA total7613191029
GA avg1.00.80.92.41.41.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVillanovenseMontehermoso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.553%67%40%100%
1.527%20%7%33%
2.513%0%0%27%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVillanovenseMontehermoso
HATHAT
Clean sheets145000
Failed to score167459

Penalties

MetricVillanovenseMontehermoso
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricVillanovenseMontehermoso
Wins31
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-12-1—
Biggest losses0-12-00-74-1
Goals For3121
Goals Against2274

Model comparison

MetricVillanovenseMontehermoso
Form83%17%
Att60%40%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total74.3%25.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Villanovense or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Villanovense = 1.65 (league 1.44), Montehermoso = 0.27 (league 1.10)

Montehermoso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Villanovense 0 14.6% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.1% 6.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.9% 5.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.9% 3.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.7% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 5.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1