Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 15:30 • Campo de Fútbol CP Montehermoso
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.47) 2.41 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.0% 14.9% 74.5%
best score tips
0 - 2
14.8%
0 - 1
12.3%
0 - 3
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Jerez
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montehermoso 0 5.1% 12.3% 14.8% 11.8% 7.1% 3.4%
1 2.9% 7.0% 8.4% 6.8% 4.1% 2.0%
2 0.8% 2.0% 2.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMontehermosoJerez
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack18%64%
Defense9%45%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Montehermoso Jerez
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins13%0%6%33%0%19%
Draws25%13%19%56%86%69%
Loses63%88%75%11%14%13%

Form: Montehermoso: LLDLWLLLDLLDLLLL • Jerez: DLDDLDWDDDWDDDWD

League goals

Metric Montehermoso Jerez
HATHAT
GF total53816824
GF avg0.60.40.51.81.11.5
GA total191433101020
GA avg2.41.82.11.11.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMontehermosoJerez
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.544%100%69%75%
1.56%38%44%38%
2.50%31%19%13%
3.50%19%13%0%
4.50%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMontehermosoJerez
HATHAT
Clean sheets000224
Failed to score459235

Penalties

MetricMontehermosoJerez
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMontehermosoJerez
Wins11
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—5-1—
Biggest losses0-74-11-32-0
Goals For2153
Goals Against7433

Model comparison

MetricMontehermosoJerez
Form13%88%
Att22%78%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution20%80%
H2h64%36%
Goals67%33%
Total37.3%63.0%

Advice: Winner : Jerez

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Montehermoso = 0.57 (league 1.47), Jerez = 2.41 (league 1.10)

Jerez
0 1 2 3 4 5
Montehermoso 0 5.1% 12.3% 14.8% 11.8% 7.1% 3.4%
1 2.9% 7.0% 8.4% 6.8% 4.1% 2.0%
2 0.8% 2.0% 2.4% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.0% · Draw 14.9% · Away win 74.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1