Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Santa Amalia
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.42)
1.24 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.1% | 28.5% | 41.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Montijo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Amalia | 0 | 10.6% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Montijo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 45% | 64% |
| Defense | 36% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Montijo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| Wins | 38% | 38% | 38% | 67% | 43% | 56% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 11% | 14% | 13% |
| Loses | 13% | 63% | 38% | 22% | 43% | 31% |
Form: Santa Amalia: WWLDLWLDWDLDLWWL • Montijo: WLDLWWLWLWWWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Montijo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 7 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santa Amalia | Montijo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 69% | 88% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 44% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 6% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Montijo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Montijo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Montijo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Montijo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 47.7% | 52.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Santa Amalia or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Santa Amalia = 1.01 (league 1.42), Montijo = 1.24 (league 1.10)
| Montijo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Amalia | 0 | 10.6% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 13.2% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 28.5% · Away win 41.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1