Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Villafranca de los Barros
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.43)
0.59 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.1% | 32.9% | 19.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.3%
0 - 0
18.8%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Diocesano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villafranca | 0 | 18.8% | 11.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.3% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villafranca | Diocesano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 45% | 36% |
| Defense | 36% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villafranca | Diocesano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 9 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 43% | 22% | 31% | 38% | 0% | 19% |
| Draws | 14% | 44% | 31% | 38% | 50% | 44% |
| Loses | 43% | 33% | 38% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
Form: Villafranca: DWWLWDLWLLDWDLLD • Diocesano: DDDWLWLDDLLDDWLL
League goals
| Metric | Villafranca | Diocesano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 11 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 19 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 8 | 16 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villafranca | Diocesano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 81% | 69% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 44% | 31% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 19% | 13% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villafranca | Diocesano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villafranca | Diocesano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villafranca | Diocesano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villafranca | Diocesano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 58.7% | 41.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Villafranca or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Villafranca = 1.08 (league 1.43), Diocesano = 0.59 (league 1.12)
| Diocesano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villafranca | 0 | 18.8% | 11.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.3% | 12.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.0% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.1% · Draw 32.9% · Away win 19.9%
vtt 3 , vtd1