Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Santa Amalia
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.42)
0.24 (league 1.14)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7% | 24.2% | 5.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
26.0%
2 - 0
19.8%
0 - 0
17.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Pueblonuevo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Amalia | 0 | 17.2% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.0% | 6.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.8% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Atlético Pueblonuevo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 31% | 31% |
| Defense | 62% | 54% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Atlético Pueblonuevo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 44% | 38% | 41% | 25% | 0% | 12% |
| Draws | 44% | 0% | 24% | 38% | 11% | 24% |
| Loses | 11% | 63% | 35% | 38% | 89% | 65% |
Form: Santa Amalia: WWLDLWLDWDLDLWWLW • Atlético Pueblonuevo: LLLLWLLLLDDDLWLDL
League goals
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Atlético Pueblonuevo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 22 | 32 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Santa Amalia | Atlético Pueblonuevo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 65% | 65% | 53% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 24% | 6% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 12% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Atlético Pueblonuevo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Atlético Pueblonuevo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Atlético Pueblonuevo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Santa Amalia | Atlético Pueblonuevo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 68.4% | 31.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Santa Amalia or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Santa Amalia = 1.52 (league 1.42), Atlético Pueblonuevo = 0.24 (league 1.14)
| Atlético Pueblonuevo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Santa Amalia | 0 | 17.2% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.0% | 6.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.8% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.7% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 5.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1