Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 15:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Navalmoral de la Mata
Expected Goals
2.01 (league 1.42)
1.60 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.8% | 21.5% | 30.4% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.7%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Jerez | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moralo | 0 | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moralo | Jerez |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 60% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 70% | 40% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moralo | Jerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 67% | 30% | 47% | 30% | 11% | 21% |
| Draws | 22% | 50% | 37% | 60% | 78% | 68% |
| Loses | 11% | 20% | 16% | 10% | 11% | 11% |
Form: Moralo: DDDWLWDLWWLDDWWWDWW • Jerez: DLDDLDWDDDWDDDWDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Moralo | Jerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 12 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 32 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 10 | 13 | 23 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moralo | Jerez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 74% | 74% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 26% | 47% | 37% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 16% | 21% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 5% | 16% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moralo | Jerez | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moralo | Jerez |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moralo | Jerez |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 5-1 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moralo | Jerez |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 48% | 52% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 57% | 43% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 58.7% | 41.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Moralo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Moralo = 2.01 (league 1.42), Jerez = 1.60 (league 1.10)
| Jerez | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moralo | 0 | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.8% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 30.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1