Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio Vicente Sanz
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.42) 0.76 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.6% 31.8% 25.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.1%
0 - 0
15.8%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Badajoz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Don Benito 0 15.8% 12.1% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.1% 13.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.2% 7.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDon BenitoBadajoz
Played55
Form87%73%
Attack80%100%
Defense90%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Don Benito Badajoz
HATHAT
Played9101971118
Wins67%60%63%57%55%56%
Draws33%20%26%29%18%22%
Loses0%20%11%14%27%22%

Form: Don Benito: LWWWDWWDDWWLWDWWDWW • Badajoz: LLWWLWWDDLWWWDWWWD

League goals

Metric Don Benito Badajoz
HATHAT
GF total201838111526
GF avg2.21.82.01.61.41.4
GA total56116814
GA avg0.60.60.60.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDon BenitoBadajoz
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%42%78%61%
1.547%16%50%11%
2.521%0%17%6%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDon BenitoBadajoz
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611257
Failed to score011134

Penalties

MetricDon BenitoBadajoz
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDon BenitoBadajoz
Wins33
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-73-10-3
Biggest losses—2-00-13-1
Goals For6733
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricDon BenitoBadajoz
Form54%46%
Att44%56%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h38%62%
Goals29%71%
Total51.2%48.8%

Advice: Double chance : Don Benito or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.84 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.50 @ William Hill
Away3.53 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ William Hill
No1.59 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.33 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Don Benito = 1.08 (league 1.42), Badajoz = 0.76 (league 1.10)

Badajoz
0 1 2 3 4 5
Don Benito 0 15.8% 12.1% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.1% 13.0% 5.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
2 9.2% 7.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.6% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 25.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1