Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Manuel Sánchez Delgado
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.88 (league 1.44) 2.13 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.8% 20.5% 42.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.7%
2 - 2
7.3%
1 - 1
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Montijo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diocesano 0 1.8% 3.9% 4.1% 2.9% 1.5% 0.7%
1 3.4% 7.3% 7.7% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2%
2 3.2% 6.8% 7.3% 5.2% 2.7% 1.2%
3 2.0% 4.3% 4.6% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7%
4 1.0% 2.0% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDiocesanoMontijo
Played55
Form0%40%
Attack22%56%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Diocesano Montijo
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins33%0%16%60%33%47%
Draws33%40%37%10%11%11%
Loses33%60%47%30%56%42%

Form: Diocesano: DDDWLWLDDLLDDWLLLLL • Montijo: WLDLWWLWLWWWDLWWLLL

League goals

Metric Diocesano Montijo
HATHAT
GF total15621111223
GF avg1.70.61.11.11.31.2
GA total16163271421
GA avg1.81.61.70.71.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDiocesanoMontijo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%79%74%74%
1.526%37%37%26%
2.511%32%11%5%
3.55%16%0%5%
4.50%5%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDiocesanoMontijo
HATHAT
Clean sheets224505
Failed to score246235

Penalties

MetricDiocesanoMontijo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricDiocesanoMontijo
Wins13
Draws31
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—2-01-3
Biggest losses1-54-10-24-2
Goals For4123
Goals Against5424

Model comparison

MetricDiocesanoMontijo
Form0%100%
Att29%71%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total41.6%58.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Montijo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Diocesano = 1.88 (league 1.44), Montijo = 2.13 (league 1.10)

Montijo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Diocesano 0 1.8% 3.9% 4.1% 2.9% 1.5% 0.7%
1 3.4% 7.3% 7.7% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2%
2 3.2% 6.8% 7.3% 5.2% 2.7% 1.2%
3 2.0% 4.3% 4.6% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7%
4 1.0% 2.0% 2.2% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.8% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 42.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1