Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio Municipal de Santa Amalia
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.44) 0.65 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.6% 30.3% 19.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 0
15.4%
1 - 1
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Llerenense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Amalia 0 15.4% 10.0% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.4% 7.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta AmaliaLlerenense
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack70%60%
Defense40%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Amalia Llerenense
HATHAT
Played1091991019
Wins50%33%42%56%20%37%
Draws40%11%26%22%20%21%
Loses10%56%32%22%60%42%

Form: Santa Amalia: WWLDLWLDWDLDLWWLWWD • Llerenense: WLWLLLDLWDLLLWDWWWD

League goals

Metric Santa Amalia Llerenense
HATHAT
GF total119209918
GF avg1.11.01.11.00.90.9
GA total8111931619
GA avg0.81.21.00.31.61.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta AmaliaLlerenense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%68%68%58%
1.532%32%21%26%
2.55%0%5%11%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta AmaliaLlerenense
HATHAT
Clean sheets516718
Failed to score246336

Penalties

MetricSanta AmaliaLlerenense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSanta AmaliaLlerenense
Wins23
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-24-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against2224

Model comparison

MetricSanta AmaliaLlerenense
Form48%52%
Att54%46%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h33%67%
Goals40%60%
Total44.2%55.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Llerenense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Amalia = 1.22 (league 1.44), Llerenense = 0.65 (league 1.10)

Llerenense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Amalia 0 15.4% 10.0% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.3% 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.4% 7.5% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.6% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 19.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1