Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Villafranca de los Barros
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.42)
0.55 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.0% | 22.1% | 10.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
15.4%
0 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Pueblonuevo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villafranca | 0 | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.6% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.4% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.0% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villafranca | Atlético Pueblonuevo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 7% |
| Attack | 33% | 33% |
| Defense | 44% | 11% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villafranca | Atlético Pueblonuevo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| Wins | 44% | 30% | 37% | 22% | 0% | 11% |
| Draws | 11% | 40% | 26% | 33% | 10% | 21% |
| Loses | 44% | 30% | 37% | 44% | 90% | 68% |
Form: Villafranca: DWWLWDLWLLDWDLLDWLW • Atlético Pueblonuevo: LLLLWLLLLDDDLWLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Villafranca | Atlético Pueblonuevo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 12 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 9 | 16 | 25 | 11 | 25 | 36 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villafranca | Atlético Pueblonuevo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 74% | 53% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 37% | 11% | 53% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 16% | 0% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villafranca | Atlético Pueblonuevo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villafranca | Atlético Pueblonuevo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villafranca | Atlético Pueblonuevo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villafranca | Atlético Pueblonuevo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 88% | 13% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 76% | 24% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 66.7% | 33.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Villafranca or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Villafranca = 1.76 (league 1.42), Atlético Pueblonuevo = 0.55 (league 1.10)
| Atlético Pueblonuevo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villafranca | 0 | 10.0% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.6% | 9.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.4% | 8.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.0% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.0% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 10.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1