Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:30 • Estadio CD Azuaga
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.47) 0.50 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.6% 23.7% 11.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.3%
2 - 0
15.7%
0 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Montehermoso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Azuaga 0 11.8% 5.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 9.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.7% 7.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAzuagaMontehermoso
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack50%42%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Azuaga Montehermoso
HATHAT
Played12820111021
Wins50%25%40%18%0%10%
Draws25%38%30%27%30%29%
Loses25%38%30%55%70%62%

Form: Azuaga: WDDLLWWDDWWDLLLWLDWW • Montehermoso: LLDLWLLLDLLDLLLLDDWDL

League goals

Metric Azuaga Montehermoso
HATHAT
GF total189278513
GF avg1.51.11.40.70.50.6
GA total131023231639
GA avg1.11.31.22.11.61.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAzuagaMontehermoso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%65%52%90%
1.530%40%10%38%
2.515%10%0%29%
3.50%0%0%14%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAzuagaMontehermoso
HATHAT
Clean sheets437112
Failed to score1124610

Penalties

MetricAzuagaMontehermoso
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAzuagaMontehermoso
Wins21
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-1—
Biggest losses1-23-10-74-1
Goals For3222
Goals Against3374

Model comparison

MetricAzuagaMontehermoso
Form63%38%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h62%38%
Goals64%36%
Total64.7%35.5%

Advice: Double chance : Azuaga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.25 @ Bet365
Draw5.15 @ Marathonbet
Away14.30 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.46 @ Marathonbet
No1.50 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Azuaga = 1.63 (league 1.47), Montehermoso = 0.50 (league 1.09)

Montehermoso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Azuaga 0 11.8% 5.9% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.3% 9.7% 2.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.7% 7.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.6% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.6% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 11.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1