Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.45) 0.92 (league 1.08)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.0% 19.0% 14.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Llerenense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moralo 0 4.4% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.7% 8.9% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.8% 7.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.3% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMoraloLlerenense
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack64%64%
Defense82%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Moralo Llerenense
HATHAT
Played111223111223
Wins64%33%48%64%25%43%
Draws18%50%35%18%17%17%
Loses18%17%17%18%58%39%

Form: Moralo: DDDWLWDLWWLDDWWWDWWLDWW • Llerenense: WLWLLLDLWDLLLWDWWWDWWLW

League goals

Metric Moralo Llerenense
HATHAT
GF total221335131225
GF avg2.01.11.51.21.01.1
GA total11132431922
GA avg1.01.11.00.31.61.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMoraloLlerenense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%65%74%57%
1.539%22%26%26%
2.517%13%9%9%
3.517%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMoraloLlerenense
HATHAT
Clean sheets3589110
Failed to score145336

Penalties

MetricMoraloLlerenense
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMoraloLlerenense
Wins33
Draws31
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-23-00-2
Biggest losses1-33-01-24-1
Goals For4432
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricMoraloLlerenense
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h25%75%
Goals25%75%
Total46.8%53.2%

Advice: Double chance : Moralo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.28 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Marathonbet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Moralo = 2.20 (league 1.45), Llerenense = 0.92 (league 1.08)

Llerenense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moralo 0 4.4% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.7% 8.9% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.8% 7.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.3% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.0% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 14.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1