Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 12:00 •
Estadio Municipal de Navalmoral de la Mata
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.46)
0.91 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1% | 19.1% | 14.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
10.8%
1 - 0
9.9%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Llerenense | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Moralo | 0 | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.9% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.8% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.9% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Moralo | Llerenense |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 64% | 64% |
| Defense | 82% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Moralo | Llerenense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| Wins | 64% | 33% | 48% | 64% | 25% | 43% |
| Draws | 18% | 50% | 35% | 18% | 17% | 17% |
| Loses | 18% | 17% | 17% | 18% | 58% | 39% |
MoraloDDDWLWDLWWLDDWWWDWWLDWW
LlerenenseWLWLLLDLWDLLLWDWWWDWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Moralo | Llerenense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 13 | 35 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 3 | 19 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Moralo | Llerenense | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 65% | 74% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 22% | 26% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 13% | 9% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 4% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Moralo | Llerenense | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Moralo | Llerenense |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Moralo | Llerenense |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Moralo | Llerenense |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 46.8% | 53.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.90 @ Unibet
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away4.28 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.06 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.86 @ Marathonbet
No1.85 @ William Hill
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League standings
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