Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio Vicente Sanz
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.42) 0.27 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
80.7% 13.0% 3.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
20.1%
1 - 0
17.4%
3 - 0
15.6%
Score & goals probability table
Montehermoso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Don Benito 0 7.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.4% 4.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.1% 5.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.6% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.0% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDon BenitoMontehermoso
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack100%50%
Defense70%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Don Benito Montehermoso
HATHAT
Played111223121123
Wins64%58%61%25%0%13%
Draws36%17%26%25%27%26%
Loses0%25%13%50%73%61%

Form: Don Benito: LWWWDWWDDWWLWDWWDWWDLWW • Montehermoso: LLDLWLLLDLLDLLLLDDWDLLW

League goals

Metric Don Benito Montehermoso
HATHAT
GF total24234711516
GF avg2.21.92.00.90.50.7
GA total7714241741
GA avg0.60.60.62.01.51.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDon BenitoMontehermoso
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%48%52%91%
1.548%13%13%35%
2.526%0%4%26%
3.513%0%0%13%
4.513%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDon BenitoMontehermoso
HATHAT
Clean sheets5712112
Failed to score0224711

Penalties

MetricDon BenitoMontehermoso
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricDon BenitoMontehermoso
Wins31
Draws22
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-73-1—
Biggest losses—2-00-74-1
Goals For6732
Goals Against2274

Model comparison

MetricDon BenitoMontehermoso
Form59%41%
Att67%33%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution90%10%
H2h100%0%
Goals95%5%
Total74.8%25.4%

Advice: Winner : Don Benito

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.19 @ Betano
Draw6.07 @ Pinnacle
Away18.00 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.88 @ Marathonbet
No1.40 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Don Benito = 2.32 (league 1.42), Montehermoso = 0.27 (league 1.10)

Montehermoso
0 1 2 3 4 5
Don Benito 0 7.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 17.4% 4.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 20.1% 5.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.6% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.0% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.7% · Draw 13.0% · Away win 3.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1