Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 11:30 •
Campo de Fútbol Municipal de Cabeza del Buey
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.44)
0.50 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 51.7% | 32.0% | 16.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
22.1%
0 - 0
19.3%
2 - 0
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Moralo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cabeza Buey | 0 | 19.3% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.1% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Cabeza Buey | Moralo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 43% | 43% |
| Defense | 57% | 93% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Cabeza Buey | Moralo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 55% | 31% | 42% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Draws | 45% | 46% | 46% | 17% | 50% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 23% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Form: Cabeza Buey: DLDDDDWWWDWWDDWDDWWLWLWD • Moralo: DDDWLWDLWWLDDWWWDWWLDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Cabeza Buey | Moralo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 13 | 30 | 25 | 13 | 38 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 11 | 17 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Cabeza Buey | Moralo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 50% | 79% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 13% | 42% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 8% | 21% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 17% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Cabeza Buey | Moralo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Cabeza Buey | Moralo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Cabeza Buey | Moralo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Cabeza Buey | Moralo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 14% | 86% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 49.6% | 50.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Cabeza Buey or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Cabeza Buey = 1.14 (league 1.44), Moralo = 0.50 (league 1.10)
| Moralo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Cabeza Buey | 0 | 19.3% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.1% | 11.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.7% · Draw 32.0% · Away win 16.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1